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Tuesday, November 14, 2023

Ballot: Rolling again local weather motion a attainable deal-breaker for a lot of potential Conservative voters

VANCOUVER – Way more Canadians say they’d extra seemingly forged their ballots for a Conservative Occasion that retains in place Canada’s local weather measures than one which rolls them again, based on a brand new ballot performed by Abacus Information for Clear Power Canada.

A dedication to at the least sustaining Canada’s present local weather and clear power ambitions is extra in style than the other strategy with respondents from each single province, age group, and gender. It is usually extra in style with supporters from each political celebration—together with, by a small margin, Conservative voters.

In complete, 42% of Canadians say they’d be extra more likely to vote for a pro-climate Conservative Occasion in comparison with 13% who can be much less seemingly. In distinction, an anti-climate Conservative Occasion would deter extra voters than it might entice—together with 16% of present Conservative voters.

Relating to prices and clear power options, a majority of Canadians (63%) accurately acknowledge that choosing an electrical car and a warmth pump is cheaper than selecting fossil-fuel-powered options. This proportion is very excessive in Quebec—a province with above-average EV adoption. 

When requested which sorts of energy technology they assist, Canadians overwhelmingly want energy from clear power sources. Majorities say they assist photo voltaic (74%), wind (67%), and hydropower (67%) in comparison with simply 46% who assist pure gasoline and 18% who assist coal (when known as “fossil gasoline,” one other time period for pure gasoline, assist drops to 25%).

Concerning who’s liable for making the power transition occur, Canadians overwhelmingly consider that federal and provincial governments are each accountable, with 90% of Canadians seeing the federal authorities as very or considerably accountable in comparison with 89% on the provincial stage. It’s a view held roughly persistently throughout age and placement. Canadians additionally see a transparent function for municipal governments, with 84% believing they bear accountability.

Lastly, 90% of Canadians suppose the clear power sector is vital to the Canadian economic system, with half of that group describing it as essential. What’s extra, 84% of Albertans see the clear power sector as vital, regardless of an ongoing moratorium on new clear power developments.  


“In the event you’re the Conservatives these outcomes, there’s each danger and reward. 

On the one hand, they may seemingly achieve assist and solidify present assist if they’ll persuade individuals they are going to be as formidable as the present authorities of their local weather agenda.

However, there’s additionally danger in these numbers. They might lose as much as 16% of their present assist if these supporters really feel their local weather plan is inadequate or roll again what is going on now. That may very well be the distinction between a majority and minority authorities and the distinction between with the ability to govern and never.” 

—David Coletto, Chair and CEO, Abacus Information

“Local weather change and the affordability disaster are two political mountains that, removed from being at odds, should be climbed collectively. A wealth of analysis reveals that the clear power transition will lead to decrease power payments for Canadians, whereas real-world examples have confirmed that conservatives will be—and certainly profit from being—local weather champions.”

—Trevor Melanson, Communications Director, Clear Power Canada


The survey was performed with 2,200 Canadian adults from October 27 to November 1, 2023. A random pattern of panelists have been invited to finish the survey from a set of associate panels primarily based on the Lucid trade platform. These companions are sometimes double opt-in survey panels, blended to handle out potential skews within the knowledge from a single supply. The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random pattern of the identical dimension is +/- 2.1%, 19 instances out of 20. The information have been weighted based on census knowledge to make sure that the pattern matched Canada’s inhabitants based on age, gender, academic attainment, and area. Totals might not add as much as 100 resulting from rounding.


Slide deck | Full outcomes

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